What Are Prediction Markets?
Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events — elections, sports, crypto prices, and more. They turn opinions into tradeable positions, creating some of the most accurate forecasting tools ever built.
Why Prediction Markets Matter
In 2024, Polymarket processed over $3.6 billion in volume on the US presidential election alone, proving that prediction markets can outperform polls, pundits, and models. The category is one of crypto’s fastest-growing verticals.
Key Articles
- Polymarket: $3.6 Billion on One Election
- Shayne Coplan: The 26-Year-Old Behind Polymarket
- The French Whale: Polymarket’s Most Famous Trader
- Kalshi: The Regulated Prediction Market
- Manifold Markets: Prediction Markets for Everything
- Futarchy: When Prediction Markets Run Governments
- Sports Betting Meets Prediction Markets
- Polymarket’s Sports Betting Expansion
- Prediction Market Arbitrage Strategies
- Augur: The Original Crypto Prediction Market
Getting Started
New to prediction markets? Start with our Polymarket deep dive to understand the platform that brought prediction markets mainstream, then explore the strategies articles to learn how traders find edge in these markets.